The Oscar Expert: 2026 Oscar Predictions – Acting Categories

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Their predicted four acting winners as of now:

Jessie Buckley – Hamnet
Timothée Chalamet – Marty Supreme

Ariana Grande – Wicked for Good
Sean Penn – One Battle After Another

some thoughts:

Jessie Buckley is the surest winner of the night

– they disagree about Grande, but aren’t sure who else would win

Kate Hudson (Song Sung Blue) has the same talent agent who managed to get Andrea Riseborough nominated

– no one has seen Song Sung Blue yet but a weird amount of pundits are predicting her

Emma Stone (Bugonia) and Rose Byrne (If I Had Legs, I’d Kick You) are great in their movies, but that are weird difficult movies, some people just won’t go for them. Tho Emma has an edge as a previous winner, Byrne has never been nominated

Jeremy Allen White (Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere) needs a good box office result

– they both loved Odessa A’zion (don’t let the name fool you, that’s a new nepo baby: Pamela Adlon’s daughter) in Marty Supreme

One Battle After Another will get a ton of nominations, and someone needs to win for acting. they think it will be Penn

Ethan Hawke (Blue Moon) is under predicted


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